FanBoardHQ

New Mexico

University of New Mexico · 2024 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#107
Efficiency
-14.2
119th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
3-4
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 12
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New Mexico went 5-7 and was ranked 107th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 53rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 132nd-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 2nd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 67th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-0
Q4
5-6

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
104th
-5.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
116th
full season
116th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
83rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0vs Montana StateBig SkyL 3135-21.20%4.8Q4
1@ ArizonaBig 12#98L 3961-10.10%-27.4Q4
3@ AuburnSEC#67L 1945-24.00%-18.4Q2
4vs Fresno StateMountain West#93L 2138-6.20%-28.3Q4
5@ New Mexico StateConference USA#127W 5040+7.1100%-6.4Q4
7vs Air ForceMountain West#103W 5237+1.0100%12.0Q4
8@ Utah StateMountain West#110W 5045-5.7100%-42.7Q4
9@ Colorado StateMountain West#74L 617-8.20%-17.8Q4
10vs WyomingMountain West#118L 4549+0.90%-20.1Q4
11@ San Diego StateMountain West#125W 2116+1.6100%-9.4Q4
12vs Washington StatePac-12#61W 3835-12.6100%1.4Q4
14@ Hawai'iMountain West#105L 3038-4.00%-17.9Q4

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on New Mexico, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-38.3-15.3+7.65-27-18-28-612-43-18-20-91-18Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 67th
SR 48thYPP 65thEPA 75th
RushingEff 2nd
SR 14thYPP 2ndEPA 4th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 138th
SR 137thYPP 135thEPA 136th
Rush defenseEff 123rd
SR 135thYPP 114thEPA 114th
Dropback rate 49%Tempo +6.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 85th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 49%1st · Defense allowed: 50%1st2nd · Offense: 52%2nd · Defense allowed: 51%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 54%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 79.0Q1 · Allowed: 97.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 103.0Q2 · Allowed: 133.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 68.0Q3 · Allowed: 58.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 83.0Q4 · Allowed: 125.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledNew MexicoOffenseDefense
New Mexico Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 53rd
+1.9
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: +3.1
Field position -1.1Finishing drives +3.1= +1.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 99th · Finishing 44th

Defensive EffRanked 132nd
-15.8
Field position: -0.9Finishing drives: -14.8
Field position -0.9Finishing drives -14.8= -15.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 103rd · Finishing 132nd

2.65 points per drive on offense, 3.15 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(189)49% / 51%51%7.5
Q2(205)55% / 45%49%7.1
Q3(163)49% / 51%48%7.7
Q4(203)41% / 59%47%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(168)10.653%7.5
2nd(116)9.044%6.9
3rd(79)8.527%5.9
4th(6)4.533%1.8
All (369)44%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(192)9.846%6.5
2nd(132)6.158%7.3
3rd(55)4.260%8.5
4th(12)1.783%5.8
All (391)53%7.0

New Mexico, all games.

New Mexico Football 2024 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ